Real Madrid vs Manchester City: Predictions, odds & betting tips
Bernardo Silva Manchester City Real Madrid
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Last week's first leg was a thrilling encounter and another high-scoring clash looks likely when Carlo Ancelotti's men host the Blues

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Manchester City head to the Santiago Bernabeu on Wednesday for the second leg of their Champions League semi-final against Real Madrid, with Pep Guardiola's side aiming to defend their 4-3 aggregate lead.

Last week's first leg saw the Premier League champions dominate large parts, only for Madrid's fighting spirit to ensure a score line which keeps the tie very much alive.

Real Madrid vs Manchester City latest odds

Los Blancos were beaten 3-2 at home in the previous round by Chelsea and a repeat scoreline would see City through to the final.

The hosts are clear outsiders, priced at 11/5 (3.20) to win in 90 minutes with bet365, while Guardiola's men are offered at 21/20 (2.05) and the draw at 3/1 (4.00).

Real Madrid vs Manchester City first goalscorer

Kevin De Bruyne opened the scoring when the sides met at the Etihad Stadium last week and the Belgium international is offered at 7/1 (8.00) to break the deadlock once more.

The favourite to score first is Karim Benzema at 9/2 (5.50) ahead of Gabriel Jesus and Riyad Mahrez who are both priced at 13/2 (7.50).

Vinicius Junior scored an exceptional individual goal in Manchester last Tuesday and the young Brazilian can be backed at 7/1 (8.00).

As a value option Rodrygo could be of interest at 10/1 (11.00) given his excellent run of four goals in the last five games.

Real Madrid vs Manchester City preview

Last week's first leg was one of the most entertaining games the competition has witnessed in recent years and it is hard to imagine that Wednesday's clash will be any less open.

Both sides possess numerous goal threats, while neither look at their best defensively and there will surely be plenty of interest in backing a goal-filled encounter.

Indeed, Real Madrid's last four Champions League matches have produced 20 goals and Los Blancos look set to be involved in yet another European thriller this week.

Real Madrid vs Manchester City tips & predictions

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals is priced at 8/11 (1.73) and has paid out in each of Madrid's last four games in the tournament.

Odds correct at the time of writing. 18+. begambleaware.org

Best Bet

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals at 8/11 (1.73) for a 2pt stake with bet365

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Real Madrid

form

All
ALM 1 - 2 RMA
W
RMA 2 - 0 SGE
W
RMA 2 - 0 JUV
W
RMA 2 - 2 AME
D
RMA 0 - 1 BAR
L
LIV 0 - 1 RMA
W
RMA 0 - 0 BET
D
CAD 1 - 1 RMA
D
ATM 1 - 0 RMA
L
MCI 4 - 3 RMA
L
Manchester City

form

All
MCI 4 - 0 BOR
W
WHU 0 - 2 MCI
W
LIV 3 - 1 MCI
L
FCB 0 - 1 MCI
W
MCI 2 - 1 AME
W
MCI 3 - 2 AVL
W
WHU 2 - 2 MCI
D
WOL 1 - 5 MCI
W
MCI 5 - 0 NEW
W
MCI 4 - 3 RMA
W
Head to Head
10 Matches (2 Draws)
4 Total wins 4
3 Home wins 3
1 Away wins 1
Last 5 Matches
1 Wins
0 Draw
4 Wins
RMA 3 - 1 MCI
MCI 4 - 3 RMA
MCI 2 - 1 RMA
RMA 1 - 2 MCI
MCI 4 - 1 RMA
9 Goals Scored 13
Games Over 2.5 Goals 5 / 5
Both Teams Scored 5 / 5
Team Comparison
  • Attack
  • Defence
  • Distribution
  • Discipline
Player Comparison

Match Facts

  1. The first leg between Manchester City and Real Madrid was only the second semi-final first leg in UEFA Champions League history to see seven goals scored, along with Liverpool 5-2 Roma in 2017-18. Only two semi-finals have seen 10 or more goals scored over the two legs: Juventus 6-4 Monaco in 1997-98 and Liverpool 7-6 Roma in 2017-18.
  2. Manchester City have won their last three UEFA Champions League matches against Real Madrid; only two sides have ever won four in a row against them in European competition, with Ajax doing so between 1973 and 1995 and Bayern Munich between 2000 and 2002.
  3. Manchester City have progressed in nine of the previous 10 UEFA Champions League two-legged knockout ties when they’ve won the first leg, only failing in the Last 16 vs Monaco (5-3 first leg, 1-3 second leg).
  4. Real Madrid have been eliminated in all five previous UEFA Champions League semi-finals when they’ve lost the first leg; however, they have progressed from two of their last three knockout ties when losing the first leg, in the 2015-16 quarter-final vs VfL Wolfsburg and this season’s Last 16 vs Paris Saint-Germain.
  5. Should Manchester City qualify for the UEFA Champions League final, they will have done so in consecutive seasons, having lost 1-0 to Chelsea in last season’s final. They’ll be the fourth English side to reach consecutive European Cup/Champions League finals, after Liverpool (1977/1978, 1984/1985, 2018/2019), Manchester United (2008/2009) and Nottingham Forest (1979/1980).
  6. Real Madrid have lost their last two UEFA Champions League matches and have only lost three in a row once before, doing so between February and October 2020, a run which included two defeats to Man City. Current manager Carlo Ancelotti has never lost three matches in a row in the Champions League, with this match his 178th in the competition.
  7. Real Madrid’s Vinícius Júnior has created 28 chances in open play in the UEFA Champions League this season, the most by a player since Dusan Tadic in 2018-19 (36) and most by a Los Blancos player since 2010-11 (Mesut Özil, 32). He has also has six open play assists, including four at the Bernabéu: since 2003-04, the only player with more than six in a season is James Milner in 2017-18 for Liverpool (7).
  8. Kevin De Bruyne has 18 UEFA Champions League assists for Manchester City, the most of any player and behind only Neymar (25) and Kylian Mbappé (20) in the competition since his debut for City in September 2015. De Bruyne scored and assisted in the first leg, one of only two occasions he’s done so in the UEFA Champions League – the other was at the Bernabéu vs Real Madrid in February 2020.
  9. Man City's Pep Guardiola has won four UEFA Champions League matches against Real Madrid, with only Ottmar Hitzfeld winning more (7). Two of his wins over Madrid have come at the Bernabeu (2011 with Barcelona, 2020 with Man City) and he could become the first manager to win three away from home there.
  10. Real Madrid’s Karim Benzema has scored nine UEFA Champions League goals in the knockout stages this season, with only Cristiano Ronaldo in 2016-17 (10) ever scoring more in a single season. Benzema could become the fourth player to score in both legs of the quarter-final and semi-final in a season, after Fernando Morientes (2003-04, Monaco), Neymar (2014-15, Barcelona) and Edin Dzeko (2017-18, Roma).
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