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Real Madrid vs Girona Predictions: La Liga Matchweek 12 Odds & Best Bets

4:40 AM EDT 10/29/22
Nuevo Santiago Bernabeu
The reigning La Liga champions suffered their first defeat of the season in the Champions League midweek but should bounce back this weekend

Real Madrid (10-1-0) will host Girona (2-3-6) this weekend in Matchweek 12 of La Liga in what should be a lopsided contest.

Los Blancos sit at the top of the league. However, they are fresh off a stunning 3-2 loss at the hands of RB Leipzig in their most recent match in the Champions League.

Meanwhile, Girona rank 18th in the La Liga table after capturing a 1-1 draw against Osasuna last week.

Let’s look at current betting odds to find best bets and props for this weekend’s matchup between Real Madrid vs Girona.

Real Madrid vs Girona Odds

  • 3-way handicap: Real Madrid (-450) | Draw (+575) | Girona (+1100)
  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 ( -125) | Under 2.5 (-110)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (-110) | No (-130)

Real Madrid vs Girona odds are current as of Friday, Oct. 28, at 6 p.m. ET on BetMGM Sportsbook.

Real Madrid are listed as a massive home favorite over Girona, with a slight lean towards Over 2.5 goals. However, there is not much profit in a straight 3-way handicap wager, so a combination bet will be your best bet in this matchup.

Real Madrid vs Girona Prediction

Real Madrid 3-1 Girona

The Catalans have yet to capture a victory away from Estadi Montilivi this season, and I do not expect that to change this weekend against Real Madrid.

The Spanish champions are the only undefeated team in La Liga. and should welcome back Luka Modric from a hip problem. However, Fede Valverde and reigning Ballon d'Or recipient Karim Benzema remain injury doubts.

Look for the Whites to play Rodrygo up the middle if Benzema is unavailable, with Vinicius Junior playing on the left. If you are looking to make a wager on an Anytime Goal, Vincius would be a solid choice in this match.

On the other side, Girona are expected to be without attacking midfielder Borja Garcia, central midfielder Ibrahima Kebe, and central defender Juanpe. This will make an uphill climb even steeper for the Catalan club.

I expect a high-scoring match, given that Girona have conceded in every match in league play this season. On the other hand, the team from the north-east corner of Spain have scored in eight straight matches, finding the back of the net against impressive La Liga clubs such as Real Sociedad, Real Betis, and Atlético Madrid.

Look for Real Madrid to win comfortably and extend their undefeated streak in La Liga.

Real Madrid vs Girona Betting Tips

  • Real Madrid is tied with Barcelona for the most goals in La Liga with 28.
  • Real Madrid have conceded the fourth-fewest goals in La Liga (tied with Atlético Madrid).
  • Girona have conceded the fifth-most goals in La Liga (19).
  • Real Madrid are 4-0-2 in head-to-head matches with Girona.
  • Los Blancos have scored nine goals from outside the box in La Liga matches this season.

Real Madrid vs Girona Best Bets

➕ Real Madrid Wins & Over 2.5 Goals (+125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

As mentioned above, I expect a comfortable victory for Real Madrid at home. However, the odds are not worth placing a wager on a standalone win.

Therefore the best bet is to tie in the Over, with an expectation that each club contributes to the final score.