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Manchester United vs Newcastle Predictions: EPL Matchweek 11 Best Bets

1:09 PM EDT 10/13/22
Old Trafford FA Youth Cup Final 2022
The Reds welcome the Magpies to Old Trafford this weekend looking to keep up their impressive domestic form and the hosts should be backed to win

For Matchweek 11 of the EPL, Manchester United returns home as they host Newcastle United on Sunday, October 16.

The Red Devils return home for the first time since Sept. 4 after matches on the road. They beat Everton 2-1 last match to get back into the win column, with Antony scoring his third straight Premier League goal and Cristiano Ronaldo getting his first of the season.

Newcastle is coming off a triumph over Brentford, beating the Bees 5-1 for their second straight victory. Bruno Guimarães led the charge for the Magpies with two goals, with one opening up the scoring and the second giving them the lead in the second half.

With Manchester United fifth in the table and Newcastle sixth, who will be ahead following the match? Let’s look at current betting odds and get some best bets and predictions for this matchup.

Gio Annatelli’s 2022-2023 EPL betting record: 17-13 (+10.7 units)

Manchester United vs Newcastle Odds

  • 3-Way Handicap: Manchester United (+100) | Draw (+270) | Newcastle (+250)
  • Draw No Bet: Manchester United (-225) | Newcastle (+150)
  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (-145) | Under 2.5 (+105)

Manchester United vs Newcastle odds are current as of Thursday, Oct. 13, from BetMGM Sportsbook unless otherwise noted.

These two clubs are separated by a point in the standings, with Man United winning four of their last five and Newcastle securing points in their previous four matches.

Manchester United vs Newcastle Betting Tips

Following a tough loss to Manchester City, United got back into the win column against Everton. Erik ten Hag shook up the lineup, with Anthony Martial getting the start up front while Casemiro logged his first Premier League start. In addition, Luke Shaw and Victor Lindelöf started in place of Tyrell Malacia and Raphaël Varane in the back line.

After conceding an early goal in the 5th minute, Antony scored the equalizer for his third goal in three appearances. Then, right before the half, Ronaldo scored his 700th club goal, ultimately the game-winner.

Newcastle has been dominant since returning from the international break, scoring nine goals in two matches. The Magpies controlled the possession time 55-45 and converted four of six on-target shots.

Guimarães scored the game-winner in the 56th minute, but Miguel Almirón has been on fire for Newcastle. He scored a goal against Brentford and put two in the back of the net in the previous match against Fulham.

While their scoring has been up, Newcastle’s defense has been dominant, allowing a league-low nine goals this season. Manchester United’s defense has also been strong, aside from their six-goal collapse against City.

Manchester United vs Newcastle Prediction

Manchester United 2-1 Newcastle

After a brutal loss to Manchester City and allowing an early goal to Everton, the Red Devils stood firm and left Goodison Park with three points.

These two clubs are close in the standings, so this will be a tightly contested match. Newcastle had an impressive return from the international break, and Manchester United have been hot as of late.

With Ronaldo getting the monkey off his back and scoring his first club goal of the season, and the striker slated to start up front with Martial set to miss a few games, the Red Devils should see a similar result as the last match. The new additions have been crucial to their success and should continue to help get United results.

Manchester United vs Newcastle Best Bets

➕ Over 2.5 Goals (-145) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

The Over of 2.5 goals has hit in the previous two matches for both Manchester United and Newcastle, so that trend is set to continue when the two clubs go head-to-head.

Newcastle has combined for nine goals in the past two matches, so scoring isn’t an issue for them. Antony has scored a goal in his first three EPL starts, Ronaldo is starting to get back into superstar form, and Marcus Rashford is always a threat to put one in the back of the net.

Both have strong backlines, but the attack will overpower them. So if you’re feeling confident, sprinkle some on Over 3.5 goals.

➕ Manchester United Moneyline (+100) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

With predicting Manchester United to win this match, it only makes sense to put a unit on their Moneyline.

The backline saw some changes against Everton, and though they gave up a goal early, they held tough the rest of the match, limiting them to just one more shot on target. The attack also looked better, controlling 61% of the possession time.

Take Manchester United to put together another win streak.