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Liverpool vs. Manchester City Predictions: EPL Matchweek 11 Best Bets

3:45 AM EDT 10/14/22
Liverpool Anfield Stadium
Matches between these two sides tend to produce plenty of goals and this weekend's encounter at Anfield should be no different

Although Liverpool versus Manchester City is usually a high-stakes encounter, the same cannot be said for Sunday. With these two swapping Premier League titles in the past few seasons, recent meetings have gone some way to crowning champions.

However, the same definition will not be required at Anfield and with Liverpool finding themselves lying 10th before the weekend’s action begins, they cannot afford to cede any further ground to those above.

While the sight of Manchester City in second is a rather alien one and although they recently slipped up at Aston Villa, they have won their last three league outings since. During that trio of wins, they’ve registered 13 goals.

Dan Tracey’s 2022-2023 EPL Betting Record: 3-5 (-2 units)

Liverpool vs Manchester City Odds

Liverpool vs. Manchester City odds are current as of Oct. 13 on PointsBet Sportsbook.

  • 3-way handicap: Liverpool +290 | Draw +300 | Manchester City -125
  • Draw No Bet: Liverpool +195 | Manchester City -275
  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (-225) | Under 2.5 (+165)
  • Both Teams To Score: Yes (-220) | No (+160)

Current betting lines have sportsbooks leaning toward a Manchester City win Sunday. However, Anfield is something of a fortress, and the opposition rarely leave Liverpool with maximum points.

This fixture usually offers an abundance of goals, and this weekend’s offering should be no different. Which means for those who usually prefer the Over/Under market, they may have to look elsewhere for value.

Liverpool vs Manchester City Betting Tips

Although Andy Robertson is set to return for Liverpool this weekend, that only goes some way to softening a number of recent blows for manager Jürgen Klopp. With an injury list that was already long before last weekend’s trip to Arsenal, the list has now become even longer.

With experienced defender Joël Matip already ruled out, he is now joined on the sidelines by Trent Alexander-Arnold and Luis Díaz. The latter of the trio is now ruled out until after the World Cup.

Even though Liverpool’s form in the Premier League has been indifferent, the same cannot be said for the Champions League and since the opening matchday defeat to Napoli, they have not looked back.

After putting seven goals past Rangers in midweek, this is just the confidence boost that they needed. Especially as far as Mohamed Salah is concerned and after scoring a hat-trick at Ibrox, this may just serve as the ignition spark for the rest of the season.

When Manchester City drop points in either the Premier League or Champions League, raised eyebrows are never far away. Tuesday’s surprise draw against Copenhagen was certainly celebrated by the sportsbooks.

However, their recent stalemate did not involve the services of Erling Haaland in attack and with the Norwegian being afforded a rest before the weekend, he will be primed and ready to brush Liverpool’s defense aside.

Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction

Liverpool 1-3 Manchester City

Before Sunday’s encounter, Liverpool has the weight of history behind them. With Klopp’s men having not lost any of their last 27 home Premier League encounters, Anfield can be considered rather impenetrable.

Then again, records are always there to be broken, and if there is one team that can end this impressive run, it is Manchester City. Especially when you consider that they are averaging more than three goals per game in this season’s Premier League.

Add a Liverpool defense that is seriously depleted and the balance of power is certainly swinging toward Pep Guardiola before Sunday. Although both teams will find the net, I can see this being a rather comprehensive win for the visitors.

Liverpool vs Manchester City Best Bets

➕ Over 3.5 Total Goals Scorer (+110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Although this fixture is not going to decide this season’s Premier League, the entertainment factor should still be considerably high Sunday, which is why I have also developed a nose for goals before kickoff.

In the past five meetings between the two teams (in all competitions), there have been at least four total goals. With the attacking prowess on show, not to mention Liverpool’s indifferent defense, Over 3.5 goals is the bet to lock in.

➕ Erling Haaland: Anytime Goal Scorer (-150) at PointsBet Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

With Haaland only scoring a single goal against Southampton, some will say that at least the former Borussia Dortmund forward is human. However, that was a performance where not even second gear was required.

Come the weekend, the 22-year-old will be firing on all cylinders and when this is the case, turmoil for defenders is never far away. Backing him to score against Liverpool also comes highly recommended.

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