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Aston Villa vs Chelsea Predictions: Premier League Matchweek 11 Match Odds & Best Bets

8:31 AM EDT 10/13/22
The Blues have found some impressive form under new manager Graham Potter and should be backed to record another win this weekend

Aston Villa (2-3-4) and Chelsea (5-1-2) will square off at Villa Park on Sunday in Birmingham, England, in a Premier League showdown.

The Villans are coming off a 1-1 draw with Nottingham Forest to extend their unbeaten streak to four matches. Meanwhile, the Blues are on the heels of a 3-0 victory over Wolverhampton last weekend and a two-game sweep in the Champions League against AC Milan.

Will Graham Potter keep Chelsea’s momentum moving forward? Or will Steven Gerrard find a way to keep Aston Villa’s unbeaten streak alive?

Let’s look at current betting odds to find best bets and props for this weekend’s match between Chelsea and Aston Villa.

Matthew Williams' 2022-23 EPL Betting Record: 31-20 (+20.2 units)

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Odds

  • 3-way handicap: Aston Villa (+333) | Draw (+270) |Chelsea (-125)
  • Draw No Bet: Aston Villa (+210) | Chelsea (-300)
  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (-120) | Under 2.5 (-120)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (-125) | No (-115)

Aston Villa vs Chelsea odds are current as of Wednesday, Oct. 12, on BetMGM Sportsbook.

Chelsea are a moderate favorite on the road against Aston Villa, with little wiggle room in the Over/Under at most sportsbooks. The 3-way-handicap allows the opportunity to place a wager on a straight victory for the Blues with plenty of room for profit.

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Betting Tips

  • Chelsea have won their last four matches by a combined score of 10-1.
  • The Blues have posted three consecutive clean sheets.
  • Aston Villa have won just one match in their previous seven EPL contests.
  • The Under has hit in the Villans' four most recent matches.
  • There have been Over 2.5 goals in Chelsea’s last seven EPL matches.

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction

Aston Villa 0-2 Chelsea

The Blues look invigorated under Potter, changing their pace on offense while still maintaining their signature control of possession.

Chelsea is less predictable in the attacking third, getting quality minutes from Mason Mount of late while enjoying the new dimension that Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang provides in front of the net.

At the same time, Chelsea have collected three clean sheets thanks to the strong performance of a rejuvenated Kepa Arrizabalaga in goal, in addition to the superb form of Thiago Silva, Kalidou Koulibaly, and Trevoh Chalobah.

Unfortunately, the Blues will be without defensive backs Wesley Fofana (knee) and Reece James (knee) due to recent injuries. However, Chelsea have proven to be resilient of late in their ability to receive quality from the bench.

Aston Villa has had difficulties putting the ball in the net this season, struggling to put teams away and settling for draw after draw. In fact, only one Premier League side has fewer goals than the Villans (Wolves).

I expect Chelsea to come out of the gates strong and mount an aggressive game against Aston Villa on the road. The score should stay close, but unless the Villans manage to score from a set piece, there is a strong possibility for the Blues to pick up a clean sheet.

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Best Bets

➕ Multiple Correct Score 0:1, 0:2, or 0:3 (+230) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 unit

As mentioned above, the Blues are on a tremendous run of good form, while the Villains have struggled to score all season.

I expect a Chelsea victory, but a Multiple Correct Score will provide a better return on investment than a 3-way handicap wager. However, if you are looking for a safer option, (-125) odds are good to take for a straight Blues victory.

➕Mason Mount: 1st Half Score (+650) at BetMGM

WAGER: 1 unit

Call this wager a hunch, but Mount has been itching to reach the back of the net for weeks now. The midfielder has earned Man of the Match honors several times recently due to his overall good form and ability to create scoring chances.

I anticipate that Mount finally connects from outside the box to pick up the first goal of that season this weekend.