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Tottenham vs. Southampton Predictions | EPL Week 1 Match Odds & Best Bets | Premier League Picks

15:05 BST 05/08/2022
Spurs sealed a spot in the Champions League last season and hope to boost their chances of reclaiming a top-four place with an opening day victory

The Spurs and Saints kick off their Premier League season with a showdown in London on Aug. 6 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

After earning a spot in the top 4 last season and clinching Champions League football, Tottenham Hotspur will look to kick their campaign off with a victory in front of their home crowd. Meanwhile, Southampton, who finished 15th, will look to shock the world on the road as they face another season fighting against relegation.

Tottenham finished with a 22-5-11 record last season in the Premier League (71 points) with a plus-29 goal differential, whereas Southampton earned 40 points after posting a 9-13-16 record with a minus-24 goal differential.

Will Tottenham walk away with an easy victory in their home stadium? Or will the Saints pull a massive upset against the Spurs? 

Let’s look at current betting lines to find best bets and props for this Week 1 EPL match.

Tottenham vs. Southampton Odds

Tottenham vs. Southampton odds are current as of July 28 on BetMGM Sportsbook.

  • 3-way handicap: Tottenham (-250) | Southampton  (+650) | Draw (+375) 

  • Draw No Bet: Tottenham (-750) / Southampton (+450)

  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (-165) / Under 2.5 (+120)

Tottenham is rock-solid favorite at -250 to come away with a victory against Southampton, who are currently listed at +650 odds.

The Spurs are undefeated in the clubs previous five matches, with four victories and one draw.

The result of the upcoming match seems like a slam dunk Tottenham win for Antonio Conte’s Spurs, but there still is plenty of value to be had betting on this showdown.

Tottenham vs. Southampton Betting Tips

Tottenham & Southampton Both Score

In 14 of the last 15 head-to-head meetings between Tottenham and Southampton, both clubs have managed to score a goal. In fact, during their most recent meeting at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, the Saints walked away with a 3-2 victory.

Look for both sides to tally a goal during the match while the Spurs walk away with the victory.

How Dangerous Are the Spurs’ Front Three?

Conte led Tottenham to a strong finish down the stretch last season, winning eight of their last 11 matches. Most of this success was built on the strong play of Harry Kane and Son Heung-Min, who posted 89 shot-creating actions between them during that span.

Son scored 12 times down the stretch for the Spurs, earning a tie for the Golden Boot with Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah with 23 goals each.

Tottenham further strengthened an already fierce attack when they added forward Richarlison for a club record £60 million transfer fee from Everton. The 25-year-old Brazilian led the Toffees with 48 goals in 111 appearances since 2018 and will go a long way in taking pressure off of Kane and Son.

We will get our first look at how this new “big three” will perform together in a Premier League match against Southampton, with the smart money betting on some early fireworks from the attacking trio.

Tottenham Against the Spread

In addition to Richarlison, Tottenham added left wing back Ivan Perišić (Inter Milan) and back-up goalkeeper Fraser Forster (Southampton) on free transfers this summer. 

Perišić’s versatility is a perfect fit for the Spurs, reuniting with Conte after winning the Serie A title together in 2020-21. The 33-year-old will add yet another level of depth to an already impressive Tottenham attack, making them a dangerous team regardless of the match score.

The Spurs enter the match against Southampton with a -1.5 goal handicap at +105 odds. Considering that Tottenham scored the fourth-most goals in the Premier League (69) before the additions of Perišić and Richarlison, they should be able to cover the spread against a Southampton club that allowed the fourth-most goals (67) last season.

Tottenham vs. Southampton Prediction

Tottenham 3, Southampton 1

Tottenham should walk away with an easy victory in this match, but given the track record between these two clubs, both are likely to tally a goal.

The Spurs’ offense will be too much for the Saints to handle, but Southampton wing-backs Kyle Walker-Peters and Tino Livramento, along with midfielder James Ward-Prowse, should also pose a threat to score against Tottenham. 

Saints’ captain Ward-Prowse is especially dangerous during set pieces, which is something to watch for during the match.

Tottenham vs. Southampton Best Bets

Tottenham Win & Both Teams Score (+190) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 unit

This is the most value you are likely to squeeze out of a Tottenham victory, unless you gamble on an exact-score wager. 

I expect both teams to score during an entertaining match, while still anticipating that Tottenham will cover the spread in an easy victory at home.

Over 2.5 Total Goals (-165) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 unit

There is a strong possibility that the Spurs are able to eclipse 2.5 goals on their own with Kane, Son, and Richarlison. However, the history between these two clubs suggest that Southampton is very likely to end up on the scoreboard, as well.