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Fulham vs. Liverpool Predictions: EPL Week 1 Match Odds & Best Bets

06:30 BST 28/07/2022
Darwin Nunez-liverpool
The Reds are one of the favourites to lift the Premier League trophy and start their campaign against newly promoted opposition

Fulham FC earned their way back into the Premier League last season when they defeated Luton Town, 7-0, to secure the EFL Championship title.

However, the West London club is in for an arduous welcome back to top-tier English football when they take on Liverpool during the EPL’s opening weekend.

Jürgen Klopp led the Reds to the Champions League final last season while challenging Manchester City until the final week for the Premier League trophy - only to come up short.

Looking to wager on sports? Head to The Game Day for the latest sports betting odds.

The Cottagers have bounced back and forth between promotion and relegation since 2018, while Liverpool is a perennial contender for the best club in the world.

Is it possible that Fulham, who enters the match with home-pitch advantage, can keep the match close? Or will Liverpool ensure that it is a long afternoon at Craven Cottage?

Let’s look at current betting lines to identify the best bets and props and make our game predictions.

Fulham vs. Liverpool Odds

3-way handicap: Liverpool (-300) | Fulham (+850) | Draw (+450)

Draw No Bet: Liverpool (-1100) / Fulham (+625)

Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (+115) / Under 2.5 (-160)

Fulham vs. Liverpool odds are current as of July 26 on BetMGM Sportsbook.

Liverpool is a massive favorite to win the match at -300, with odds as high as -1100 for a Draw No Bet wager.

Fulham comes in as a +850 underdog, which may entice the occasional lottery bettor. However, there is no legitimate reason to gamble on a loss for Liverpool, who can likely win this match with their second team.

Fulham vs. Liverpool Betting Tips

Liverpool Will Score Early

The Reds have scored three, four, and six goals in their three previous opening fixtures. Liverpool will likely come out of the gate with that same intensity versus Fulham, who will face a baptism by fire upon their promotion to the Premier League.

Mohammad Salah, Diego Jota, and Darwin Núñez are a handful for any competitive club to deal with and will surely be too much for the Cottagers on their home pitch.

Look for Liverpool to grab a lead before halftime and add to it as the match progresses.

Clean Sheet For Alisson Becker

Fulham striker Aleksandar Mitrović had a terrific season in 2021-22, scoring 43 times with 7 assists. However, his efforts in the Championship are unlikely to transfer to the Premier League.

That said, Fulham scores the majority of their goals within the first 30 minutes of the match, with Mitrović as their most lethal option. So if Liverpool can smother the Cottagers early and mark out Mitrović, they will likely have smooth sailing.

Liverpool center back Virgil van Dijk carried a 62% clean sheet rate last season with an aerial success rate in the 92nd percentile. At the same time, fullback Trent Alexander-Arnold ranked in the 79th percentile in interceptions.

The Reds’ Brazilian goalkeeper Alisson Becker should have no issue holding Fulham scoreless on the road. Last season, a 75.3% save rate in the Premier League led to a clean sheet percentage in the 98th percentile.

The 29-year-old also finished with a 98th percentile performance in defensive actions outside the penalty area, and the 88th percentile in crosses stopped.

Big Match For Darwin Núñez

Salah will be the defensive focus for Fulham. However, with Sadio Mané no longer with Liverpool, Núñez, the 22-year-old Uruguayan star, was brought in from Benfica as their primary striker.

Salah relies on volume and penalty kicks to supplant his goal totals for the Reds. In contrast, Núñez uses his blazing speed in open space and elite finishing ability, outperforming his expected goal total by nearly 40 percent.

Look for Núñez to take advantage of a soft matchup in the opener to get his season off on the right foot. The center forward generated a goal involvement every 74 minutes last season and will look to overwhelm the Fulham defense.

Fulham vs. Liverpool Prediction

Liverpool 3-0 Fulham

Liverpool will begin their march toward a Premier League championship run by shutting down Fulham on the road.

The Reds hold every advantage on the pitch and should be able to tie up a clean sheet victory while tallying several goals in the process.

Fulham vs. Liverpool Best Bets

➕ OVER 2.5 Total Goals (+115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 unit

The Liverpool attack, led by Salah, Jota, and Núñez, will overwhelm the Fulham defense. If the Cottagers focu on one player, they will get burned by the others.

I expect Núñez to be efficient and surgical in his debut for the Reds, opening up the Liverpool offense even further once Fulham shifts their attention to stopping him.

Look for Liverpool to hit the over on 2.5 total goals by themselves.

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➕ Liverpool Leads at Halftime (-140) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 unit

Liverpool tends to start their seasons with a bang, which should not be an issue against Fulham.

The Reds will make a statement early in the match to set the tone for the rest of the Premier League season.

Bet on Liverpool to carry a lead into halftime at -140.

Bet on Liverpool at BetMGM.

➕ Multiple Correct Score 0:1, 0:2 or 0:3 (+175) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 unit

If you expect a clean sheet from Liverpool, then +175 odds to cover three different results is a gift.

My match prediction has the Reds winning the match with Fulham by three goals, but getting extra coverage is never a bad thing.

If you wanted to be a bit more specific, you could always pivot to a far more profitable, albeit risky wager, of a 0-3 exact score at +759.

Bet on this correct score prop at BetMGM.